Chicago - Jul. 3, 2009
Music TV Politics Sports Books People Places & Things
 
Beachwood Politics
Our monthly archive.
Who We Are
Chicago by the numbers.
Sausage Links
The Race Is On!
Wiki Daley
Shakman Monitor
Daily Howler
Capitol Fax Blog
Clout City
Animal Farm
Illinois Channel
Ralph Martire
Government Attic
Civic Footprint
Division Street
Corrupt Governor
Indie Political Report
Public Markup
Clout Fairy
Politico
The Obameter
The Hill
CQ Politics
The Thicket

Political Odds


By The Beachwood Bookmaking Bureau

For entertainment purposes only. And office pools. Updated as events warrant.

The chance that . . .

Todd Stroger wins re-election: 50 percent. This is still Cook County.

Todd Stroger will be taken care of with a nice cushy consolation prize if he loses: 98 percent. This is still Cook County.

Todd Stroger decides not to run for re-election: 35 percent. Machine may decide for him, but he's still their stooge.

Todd Stroger gets indicted: 1 percent. Not smart enough to scheme.

column_pol_odds.gifToni Preckwinkle wins county board prez: 30 percent. Up ten ticks as Stroger implodes.

Forrest Claypool wins county board prez: 20 percent. Tough challenge awaits from Preckwinkle, especially if Stroger folds and African Americans rush to her side.

Paul Vallas wins county board prez: 10 percent. Running as Republican looks gimmicky; Machine out to crush him.

Tony Peraica wins county board prez: 1 percent. Has worn out his limited welcome.

Pat Quinn wins re-election: 40 percent. Up ten ticks. Appealing folksy style and common sense approach can overcome impending tax hikes.

Lisa Madigan is our next governor: 30 percent. Holding steady. Playing politics with tax issue cuts both ways.

Dan Hynes is our next governor: 5 percent. Has to be looking elsewhere.

Mark Kirk is our next governor: 10 percent. Up five ticks. Was looking at Burris seat instead but now looking at Alexi's checking account.

Roland Burris wins re-election: 40 percent. Down 10 ticks on continuing embarrassments. Up to Machine.

Alexi Giannoulias wins Burris's seat: 25 percent. Will Obama endorse to African-American objections?

Jan Schakowsky wins Burris's seat: 15 percent. A white male won't get through the primary, but maybe a woman will. May sit it out.

Bill Daley wins Burris's seat: 1 percent. Would take massive bullying effort and suitcases of money to black ministers. Meaning it's still possible.

Jesse Jackson Jr. wins Burris's seat: 5 percent. Down five ticks. Not going anywhere until Blago trial is over.

Danny Davis wins Burris's seat: 1 percent. Wanted [clean] appointment; won't run.

Somebody not discussed yet wins Burris's seat: 20 percent. Room for a fresh face; and I don't mean Cheryle Jackson.

Mark Kirk wins Burris's seat: 40 percent. Only Burris fiasco has made it possible.

Dick Durbin wins re-election: 50 percent. Blood in the water for first time.

Blago cuts a deal: 1 percent. Doesn't know how even if he wanted to.

Blago is convicted: 99 percent. Slight chance he gets mob to buy the jury.

Blago book is a best-seller: 99 percent. For at least one week.

Blago finishes it before he is indicted: 0 percent. Will be timed for trial.

Patti Blago is indicted by Easter: 65 percent. She could turn state's [bleep]in' evidence. UPDATE: This didn't happen for strategic reasons. Re-calculating.

Patti Blago is indictable: 100 percent. That's not the point.

Richard M. Daley is lying: 50 percent. If his lips are moving.

Jody Weis lasts another year: 35 percent. It's a disaster. But now we know why Huberman didn't get the job.

Huberman being groomed for mayor: 35 percent. Not Daley's style to groom.

Chicago lands the 2016 Olympics: 25 percent. The IOC loves pay-to-play, but transportation plan, funding and venue arrangements still a little shifty. Plus, other bids look awfully good too.

Obama wins re-election: 66 percent. Re-election campaign underway; gorge on earmarks, lobbyists and wild spending now before they have to be disavowed again.

Obama commutes George Ryan's sentence: 50 percent. Application still active; hey, he won't pursue war criminals, might want to turn the page.

Obama commutes Tony Rezko's sentence: 35 percent. Sometime within the next eight years? Why not?

Joe Biden resigns after the mid-term elections: 75 percent. He's already bored out of his skull; Obama can choose successor. Probably someone from Chicago.

Propositions
Over/Under on number of Daleyites still to be named to high-level posts in the Obama administration: 6.5.

Over/Under on the number of times Michelle Obama's horrid fashion sense will be compared to Jackie O's in the next six months: 34,298.

Over/Under on the average number of questions Obama will take in press conferences in his first year: 4.5.

Over/Under on City Hall scandals in 2009 that "might be the one that breaks Daley's back" but won't be: 3.

Over/Under on the number of times Fran Spielman will use the phrase "Daley's Olympic dream" in 2009: 200.

Over/Under on how many issues Daley accuses his opponents of being racists on before the next election: 2.

Over/Under on how many more times Todd Stroger will try to explain that it's the media's fault: 3 times a week until he's out of office.

Over/Under on Hired Truck convictions: 51. Number moves south, too much under action. So far, 49 have been charged; 46 have been convicted; and one fell off a horse and died before trial.



Permalink

Posted on April 22, 2009


MUSIC - July Jackpot. In Bloodshot Briefing.
TV - America's Pitchman.
POLITICS - The Court's legal fiction.
SPORTS - Who ruled June. In Fantasy Fix.

BOOKS - Arresting Tales. In Chicago Blog Review.

PEOPLE PLACES & THINGS - Kurdistan vs. Chicago. In Cab #713.

Search
The Beachwood Reporter





Subscribe to the Newsletter
Email:


Flying Saucer Restaurant