Chicago - Nov. 14, 2019
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A discount-store employee is time-warped to a medieval castle, where he is the foretold savior who can dispel the evil there. Unfortunately, he screws up and releases an army of skeletons. (tvguide.com)
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The [Tuesday] Papers

So about the Sun-Times/ABC7 Chicago poll that I see a lot of other media folks - and other interested parties - retweeting and citing mindlessly, without thinking critically about just what it is they are endorsing . . .

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Now let's break it down. Does the poll show how many folks surveyed support a strike, as those citations say? No. That is flat out wrong.

The poll question was this:

Screen Shot 2019-10-15 at 1.12.20 PM.png

To be sure, many respondents would take this question to mean, "Do you support a strike or not?"

But many others might take the question as asked: "Do you support the possibility of a strike?"

I have no idea why the pollsters would put it this way. But there is a huge difference between that and asking if someone outright supports a strike. As I tweeted, it's like the difference in polls that ask respondents if they support "an impeachment inquiry" and impeachment themselves. And then, you have the fact that to many impeachment means removal from office, which it does not. (For starters, see: How To Know Which Impeachment Polls To Believe.)

For example, I support the possibility of a strike. That does not mean I support a strike.

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Now, ABC7 says they polled were "randomly selected people." Yikes. That is not accepted polling practice. The Sun-Times says those polled were voters. I don't know if that means registered voters, which it often does, or likely voters, which usually means those who have voted in the last two or three elections. I don't know if those elections include local, or, in the case of presidential polling, for example, federal. I don't know because the Sun-Times and ABC7 don't tell us.

According to ABC7, 75 percent of those polled do not have children in CPS. Does this mirror the city's population? Why not separate out those with children in CPS and those without? (Because it would cost more?)

We also learn from the Sun-Times that the polling was automated. It sounds to me like the polling universe was created as a sample of the city as to be reflective of the overall population in terms of race, gender, etc. It seems to me this is just a badly done poll that does not meet the standards of journalism. I'm not nitpicking; these are the elements that make for good or bad polling.

Finally, why do this poll right now? It would be one thing if teachers went on strike and then you polled the public to see "which side they are on." It's another to poll a moving target, when progress is made, and then unmade, as proposals and negotiation positions shift. What is it exactly even that people are being asked to support or oppose? Again, it seems like the general notion of teachers being able to strike, not the specific issues at hand in this case. (I'm a fan of asking poll respondents first how closely they are following an issue, and even being asked to demonstrate a familiarity with what they are being asked about.)

Anyway, those headlines are wrong, the conclusions are wrong, and the punditry is based on wrong, being based on wrongness and all.

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New on the Beachwood . . .

When John Prine Gets To Heaven
He'll have a nine-mile long cigarette waiting for him.

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Ellen DeGeneres's Bullshit Takedown
Holding copyright does not immunize you from criticism.

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How It's Playing In Russia
Like they have the GOP's talking points.

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Beachwood Sports Radio: Grandpa vs. The Field
The Cubs are hiring a manager - again. Plus: The Non-Mystery Of Why Virtually No One Is Calling Ozzie Guillen; The Bears Have Become The Cubs; I Figured Out How To Fix The Cubs, AMA; The Self-Impeaching Steve Stone Has Lost His Mind; There Is A Chance The Blackhawks Aren't As Bad As They Were In Their Home Opener; The NBA, China, The Score & You; The Lovie Smith Experiment Isn't Working; Thank You, Basti; It's A Red Stars Semi; and Congrats To An Old Favorite.

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What We Do To Whistleblowers
Ruin them.

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Recall! Kenosha Beef
An undetermined amount of seasoned beef products that may be contaminated with extraneous materials, specifically metal shavings.

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The NBA, China, The Score & You
Bernstein & McKnight shrug off China's dystopian authoritarianism because, hey, we're all guilty.

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How To Know Which Impeachmenet Polls To Believe
As with all polling, the results depend to some extent on who is polled, what they are asked and when.

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College Radio, Eh?
A playlist with a mission statement.

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Making Elite Colleges White Again
Because they see some black students in selective college classrooms, some white people feel they are losing control - over admissions decisions as well as the narrative that they've achieved academic success purely through grit and self-motivation.

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Could Helmetless Tackling Training Reduce Football Head Injuries?
Based on risk compensation theory, rugby players tackle with their shoulders not only because they were taught that way, but because their heads are not protected with a helmet.

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Chicago Doomsday 2019
Supermoto hooligans really threw it down this time.

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Three STDs Reach All-Time Highs In U.S.
For the fith consecutive year.

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ChicagoReddit

Lakeview High School 1925 Rotc Drill Championship from r/chicago

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ChicagoGram

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ChicagoTube

Sirtaki at Chicago Williams BBQ in Berlin.

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BeachBook
A sampling of the delight and disgust you can find on our Facebook page, whose posts Mark Zuckerberg distributes to about a tenth of our followers on a good day and sometimes to just a couple dozen while denying that it's because we don't pay to advertise. You should follow us there anyway and press the issue.

The Bible's First Critic.

The bible is so laughably ridiculous that the fact so many millions so fervently believe in it ironically and ultimately tells us everything we need to know about what a failed species we are..

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Why Recycling Doesn't Work.

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How The Trump Tax Cuts Are Killing The Art Market Despite Coddling The Richest American Families.

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The Real Story Behind "Werewolves of London."

An overrated novelty song.

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TweetWood
A sampling of the delight and disgust you can find @BeachwoodReport.

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The Beachwood Tipping Pitches Line: It's in his glove, that's where it is.



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Posted on October 15, 2019


MUSIC - Verböten.
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POLITICS - Loyola's Predatory Lending Bill.
SPORTS - Chicago Should Miss Sam Kerr.

BOOKS - Blow Your Mind.

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